Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 36.12%2.77fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.06%36.12%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.622.7540.00%38.12%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 63.88%1.57fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.95%63.94%63.88%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5369.44%67.35%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 36.12%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 63.88%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.684%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.684%E -0.249%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.77%E -0.650%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.13%E -0.785%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 06:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.57%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 06:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 06:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 09:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 05:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 09:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 05:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 06:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 05:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 05:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 07:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 06:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 06:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 06:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 09:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 09:19 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 09:50 |