Maria Sakkari v Clara Tauson

Inicio: 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

36%

64%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 36.12%2.77momio equitativo

EV -0.684%

Ventaja -0.249%

Kelly -0.391%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.37%36.06%36.12%37.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.502.622.622.7540.00%38.12%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Predicción 63.88%1.57momio equitativo

EV -2.26%

Ventaja -1.47%

Kelly -4.26%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

62.95%63.94%63.88%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.441.481.481.5369.44%67.35%67.57%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Sky Bet	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.684%E -0.249%K -0.391%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 06:00
FanDuel	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.77%E -0.650%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 05:59
SportsBet	2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.13%E -0.785%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-30 05:59
Coolbet	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.57%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-06-30 06:10
Winamax (DE)	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-30 05:09
Paddy Power	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.49%E -0.922%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 05:59
DraftKings	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 05:09
Pinnacle	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.57%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-30 06:20
BetOnline.ag	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-06-30 06:49
BetAnything	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-30 06:49
Bovada	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 06:08
Unibet (UK)	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 05:09
ReBet	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 08:09
Hard Rock Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 07:00
Fanatics	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 09:49
theScore Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 05:09
Betclic (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 09:48
Caesars	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-30 05:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-30 05:59
LeoVegas	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
Unibet (SE)	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
BetRivers	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
ATG (SE)	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
Svenska Spel	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
betPARX	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
Grosvenor	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
Unibet (NL)	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
Casumo	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
Bally Bet	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 06:59
Unibet	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
TABtouch	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 07:00
BoyleSports	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 05:09
1xBet	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 09:49
GTbets	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 05:09
betfred_uk	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 06:09
Marathon Bet	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-30 09:49
Betsson	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 05:10
NordicBet	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 05:09
BetUS	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-30 09:39
888sport	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:10
Betway	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:10
Mr Green (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:10
888sport (SE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:09
Dabble (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:49
William Hill	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 06:29
Winamax (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 05:09
PointsBet (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 06:10
Coral	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
BetMGM	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Betr (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 06:09
MyBookie.ag	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 05:18
Unibet (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 05:10
LiveScore Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 07:00
Tipico (DE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 10:09
Virgin Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 06:59
NetBet (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 06:09
PMU (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 06:59
PlayUp	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 06:20
Neds	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 06:29
Everygame	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 06:09
TAB	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 06:49
Bet Victor	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-30 09:39

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook	2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%	0.3%	2026-06-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	0.5%	2026-06-30 09:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	0.5%	2026-06-30 09:19
Novig	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	0.5%	2026-06-30 09:50
ProphetX	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%	0.6%	2026-06-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%	0.7%	2026-06-30 09:50
Smarkets	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%	1.7%	2026-06-30 09:50