Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.27
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local): 44.23%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 55.77%. For Maja Chwalinska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.06%E +1.12%K +2.48%G +0.051% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.383%E +0.213%K +0.479%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -11.09%E -5.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:17 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.56%E -3.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:17 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.02%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.19%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.406%E +0.179%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -14.19%E -7.31%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV +0.406%E +0.179%K +0.319%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |