L’École des cotes

Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Maja Chwalinska

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local)

Prévision 44.23%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.406%
Avantage +0.179%
Kelly +0.319%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%44.26%44.73%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.132.122.2751.55%46.93%47.17%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Maja Chwalinska (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.77%1.79cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +2.48%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%55.74%55.27%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.671.8362.50%59.40%59.88%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.06%E +1.12%K +2.48%G +0.051%4.6%2026-06-29 10:20
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.383%E +0.213%K +0.479%G +0.002%4.3%2026-06-29 10:08
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 09:58
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:18
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.29%E -0.729%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:19
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -11.09%E -5.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:17
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:58
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.56%E -3.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 09:59
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:19
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:19
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:04
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:19
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.54%E -5.77%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:17
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:19
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.02%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:13
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.19%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:19
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.406%E +0.179%K +0.319%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -14.19%E -7.31%K -15.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-29 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 10:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:20
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:18
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV +0.406%E +0.179%K +0.319%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 10:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:20
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:19
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 10:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:20
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -10.21%E -6.34%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 10:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:20
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.479%E -0.213%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 10:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-06-29 10:20
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-06-29 10:20
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-06-29 10:20
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%4.1%2026-06-29 10:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%6.2%2026-06-29 10:20