Language:English
Madison Keys v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV +0.345%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.448%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.71%56.98%60.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.61%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV +5.24%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +3.66%
Growth +0.192%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.10%43.29%43.02%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.4350.00%45.30%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 56.69%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 43.31%. For Linda Noskova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +5.24%E +2.16%K +3.66%G +0.192% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +3.07%E +1.29%K +2.23%G +0.068% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.07%E +1.29%K +2.23%G +0.068% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -9.86%E -6.20%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV +2.64%E +1.11%K +1.93%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.392%E -0.170%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.29%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.36%E -0.779%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.62%E -4.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.345%E +0.195%K +0.448%G +0.002% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.36%E -0.779%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 15:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.49%E -4.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.35%E -5.00%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |