La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.345%
Ventaja +0.195%
Kelly +0.448%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%56.71%56.98%60.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.61%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 43.31%2.31momio equitativo
EV +5.24%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +3.66%
Crecimiento +0.192%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.10%43.29%43.02%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.4350.00%45.30%45.45%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +5.24%E +2.16%K +3.66%G +0.192% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:03 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +3.07%E +1.29%K +2.23%G +0.068% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.07%E +1.29%K +2.23%G +0.068% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -9.86%E -6.20%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV +2.64%E +1.11%K +1.93%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.392%E -0.170%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.29%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 14:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.36%E -0.779%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.62%E -4.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.345%E +0.195%K +0.448%G +0.002% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.36%E -0.779%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 15:08 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -0.789%E -0.451%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.49%E -4.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.35%E -5.00%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |