The School of Odds

Linda Noskova v Elise Mertens

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 12:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prediction 55.72%1.79fair odd
EV +0.845%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%56.16%55.55%62.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.661.631.8164.94%60.32%61.54%55.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Elise Mertens (Visit)

Prediction 44.28%2.26fair odd
EV +11.60%
Edge +4.60%
Kelly +7.63%
Growth +0.885%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%43.84%44.45%48.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.212.242.5252.63%45.27%44.64%39.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -14.20%E -9.22%K -26.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +11.60%E +4.60%K +7.63%G +0.885%4.6%2026-07-08 11:55
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +10.71%E +4.28%K +7.14%G +0.765%2.9%2026-07-08 10:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +9.83%E +3.96%K +6.64%G +0.652%2.4%2026-07-08 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +9.83%E +3.96%K +6.64%G +0.652%4.0%2026-07-08 11:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +8.94%E +3.63%K +6.12%G +0.547%2.8%2026-07-08 12:02
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +8.50%E +3.47%K +5.86%G +0.498%4.5%2026-07-08 11:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +7.61%E +3.13%K +5.32%G +0.405%4.8%2026-07-08 09:10
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV +6.73%E +2.79%K +4.77%G +0.321%4.0%2026-07-08 07:55
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 06:45
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 12:09
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 10:05
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.6%2026-07-08 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.4%2026-07-08 05:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.4%2026-07-08 05:40
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -13.08%E -8.39%K -23.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.8%2026-07-08 09:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +5.40%E +2.27%K +3.91%G +0.211%5.7%2026-07-08 01:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +5.40%E +2.27%K +3.91%G +0.211%5.7%2026-07-08 04:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -13.64%E -8.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV +4.95%E +2.09%K +3.62%G +0.179%6.7%2026-07-08 11:50
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%5.1%2026-07-08 12:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -11.97%E -7.58%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%5.8%2026-07-08 07:09
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%6.2%2026-07-08 05:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV +3.63%E +1.55%K +2.71%G +0.098%4.8%2026-07-08 12:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.85%E +0.806%K +1.43%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-08 12:09
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.85%E +0.806%K +1.43%G +0.026%6.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 12:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.25%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.96%E -4.16%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.18%E -5.63%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.16%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:08
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.38%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.38%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.845%E +0.467%K +1.04%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -10.99%E -5.47%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 12:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-08 12:10
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.64%E -7.00%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -13.64%E -7.00%K -14.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -15.86%E -8.35%K -17.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-08 12:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%4.4%2026-07-08 12:10