The School of Odds

Linda Noskova v Elise Mertens

2026-07-08 12:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Option 1: Linda Noskova (Local)

1.5763.69%Min
1.6162.01%Mean
1.6162.11%Median
1.6560.61%Max
57.69%1.733Min
60.69%1.648Max
58.80%1.701Mean
58.67%1.704Median
58.67%1.704IQM
58.90%1.698Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 58.67%

EV -3.19%Edge -1.93%Kelly -4.91%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Elise Mertens (Visit)

2.2045.45%Min
2.3043.49%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4740.49%Max
39.31%2.544Min
42.31%2.364Max
41.20%2.427Mean
41.33%2.420Median
41.33%2.420IQM
41.10%2.433Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.47 under the IQM model: 41.33%

EV +2.08%Edge +0.842%Kelly +1.41%Growth +0.029%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLinda Noskova (Local)Elise Mertens (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50% NM 60.69%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.47I 40.49% NM 39.31%EV +2.08% E +0.842% K +1.41% G +0.029%3.0%2026-07-07 14:40
1xBet1.65I 60.61% NM 59.46%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 40.54%EV +0.013% E +0.005% K +0.009% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 10:00
Coolbet1.63I 61.35% NM 59.55%EV -4.36% E -2.68% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.45%EV -0.814% E -0.339% K -0.581% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 13:40
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61% NM 59.16%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.39I 41.84% NM 40.84%EV -1.23% E -0.513% K -0.883% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 08:00
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 59.50%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 40.50%EV -1.64% E -0.689% K -1.19% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 16:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.88% E -5.02% K -13.83% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -1.64% E -0.689% K -1.19% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.90%EV -3.78% E -2.30% K -5.90% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.10%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 05:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 07:56
BetMGM1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 02:15
BetAnything1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 13:00
BetUS1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.88% E -5.02% K -13.83% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -2.88% E -1.23% K -2.13% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 21:59
GTbets1.61I 62.11% NM 59.03%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.97%EV -4.12% E -1.78% K -3.12% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 18:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73% NM 58.78%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.22%EV -4.53% E -1.96% K -3.46% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 13:35
Betway1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 17:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 12:05
FanDuel1.64I 60.98% NM 58.38%EV -3.78% E -2.30% K -5.90% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.62%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 01:45
SportsBet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -4.36% E -2.68% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 09:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 20:18
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 21:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:59
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:59
TABtouch1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:59
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:54
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 10:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:59
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 07:54
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 02:15
Neds1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 02:15
Everygame1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.88% E -5.02% K -13.83% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 02:15
Coral1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.88% E -5.02% K -13.83% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -4.95% E -2.15% K -3.80% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -5.77% E -2.53% K -4.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 09:54
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11% NM 58.51%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.49%EV -6.19% E -2.73% K -4.87% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 07:08
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11% NM 58.51%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.49%EV -6.19% E -2.73% K -4.87% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:04
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.66%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.34%EV -6.19% E -2.73% K -4.87% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 18:35
Betsson1.61I 62.11% NM 58.40%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 41.60%EV -6.60% E -2.92% K -5.24% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 21:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.40%EV -5.54% E -3.44% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 41.60%EV -6.60% E -2.92% K -5.24% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 17:15
TAB1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.19% E -1.93% K -4.91% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 17:19
PlayUp1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -4.36% E -2.68% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 17:15
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 21:24
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:24
Caesars1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.95% E -3.06% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:24
Fliff1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.88% E -5.02% K -13.83% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.01% E -3.12% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 17:15
ReBet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.33%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 41.67%EV -7.43% E -3.32% K -5.99% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -9.08% E -4.13% K -7.57% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 17:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.12% E -3.83% K -10.21% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -9.08% E -4.13% K -7.57% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLinda Noskova (Local)Elise Mertens (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24% NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00% NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24% NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00% NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24% NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00% NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-07 17:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24% NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00% NM 39.90%0.2%2026-07-07 17:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98% NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65% NM 40.00%1.6%2026-07-07 17:45
Smarkets1.63I 61.35% NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65% NM 39.85%2.0%2026-07-07 17:40
Novig1.63I 61.35% NM 59.35%2.38I 42.02% NM 40.65%3.4%2026-07-07 15:40