L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 12:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 55.72%1.79cote équitable
EV +0.845%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%56.16%55.55%62.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.661.631.8164.94%60.32%61.54%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.28%2.26cote équitable
EV +11.60%
Avantage +4.60%
Kelly +7.63%
Croissance +0.885%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%43.84%44.45%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.212.242.5252.63%45.27%44.64%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -14.20%E -9.22%K -26.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +11.60%E +4.60%K +7.63%G +0.885%4.6%2026-07-08 11:55
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +10.71%E +4.28%K +7.14%G +0.765%2.9%2026-07-08 10:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +9.83%E +3.96%K +6.64%G +0.652%2.4%2026-07-08 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +9.83%E +3.96%K +6.64%G +0.652%4.0%2026-07-08 11:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +8.94%E +3.63%K +6.12%G +0.547%2.8%2026-07-08 12:02
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +8.50%E +3.47%K +5.86%G +0.498%4.5%2026-07-08 11:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +7.61%E +3.13%K +5.32%G +0.405%4.8%2026-07-08 09:10
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV +6.73%E +2.79%K +4.77%G +0.321%4.0%2026-07-08 07:55
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 06:45
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 12:09
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.2%2026-07-08 10:05
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%4.6%2026-07-08 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.4%2026-07-08 05:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.4%2026-07-08 05:40
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -13.08%E -8.39%K -23.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +6.28%E +2.62%K +4.49%G +0.282%5.8%2026-07-08 09:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +5.40%E +2.27%K +3.91%G +0.211%5.7%2026-07-08 01:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +5.40%E +2.27%K +3.91%G +0.211%5.7%2026-07-08 04:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -13.64%E -8.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV +4.95%E +2.09%K +3.62%G +0.179%6.7%2026-07-08 11:50
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%5.1%2026-07-08 12:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -11.97%E -7.58%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%5.8%2026-07-08 07:09
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -12.53%E -7.98%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +4.07%E +1.73%K +3.01%G +0.123%6.2%2026-07-08 05:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV +3.63%E +1.55%K +2.71%G +0.098%4.8%2026-07-08 12:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.85%E +0.806%K +1.43%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-08 12:09
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.85%E +0.806%K +1.43%G +0.026%6.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.07%E -4.89%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 12:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.360%E -0.160%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.63%E -5.26%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.25%E -0.558%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.96%E -4.16%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.18%E -5.63%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.74%E -6.01%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.57%E -1.17%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -10.30%E -6.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -3.46%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.96%E -4.16%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.41%E -7.18%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.86%E -6.78%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.00%E -3.33%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:08
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.38%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.38%E -0.782%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.28%E -3.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.845%E +0.467%K +1.04%G +0.009%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.827%E -0.464%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -10.99%E -5.47%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 12:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -1.94%E -1.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.61%E -2.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -4.73%E -2.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-08 12:10
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -2.50%E -1.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.288%E +0.160%K +0.360%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.64%E -7.00%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -13.64%E -7.00%K -14.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -4.17%E -2.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -15.86%E -8.35%K -17.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-08 12:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-07-08 12:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%4.4%2026-07-08 12:10