Language:English
Kimberly Birrell v Alina Korneeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kimberly Birrell (Local)
Prediction 54.92%1.82fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +2.56%
Kelly +5.38%
Growth +0.263%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%54.39%55.26%58.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.731.691.9163.69%57.73%59.17%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alina Korneeva (Visit)
Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.87%45.61%44.74%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.072.102.2554.95%48.27%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 54.92%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 45.08%. For Kimberly Birrell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -12.54%E -6.46%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV +4.34%E +2.29%K +4.82%G +0.209% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.34%E +2.29%K +4.82%G +0.209% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.34%E -7.55%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:02 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -15.24%E -8.11%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 13:02 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.69%E -8.39%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.60%E +0.863%K +1.88%G +0.030% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV +1.60%E +0.863%K +1.88%G +0.030% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV +1.05%E +0.569%K +1.25%G +0.013% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.73%EV +1.05%E +0.569%K +1.25%G +0.013% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.27%EV -17.95%E -9.86%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV +0.498%E +0.272%K +0.600%G +0.003% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.55%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 13:02 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.051%E -0.028%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -1.15%E -0.639%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -9.38%E -4.67%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -0.366%E -0.166%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +0.535%E +0.240%K +0.435%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +0.535%E +0.240%K +0.435%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.13%E -7.58%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -13.78%E -8.78%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -13.78%E -8.78%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -2.17%E -1.000%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |