La escuela de los momios

Kimberly Birrell v Alina Korneeva

Inicio: 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Predicción 54.92%1.82momio equitativo
EV +4.89%
Ventaja +2.56%
Kelly +5.38%
Crecimiento +0.263%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.73%54.39%55.26%58.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.731.691.9163.69%57.73%59.17%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alina Korneeva (Visitante)

Predicción 45.08%2.22momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.639%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%45.61%44.74%50.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.072.102.2554.95%48.27%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -12.54%E -6.46%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 13:09
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:02
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:02
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.89%E +2.56%K +5.38%G +0.263%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:01
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV +4.34%E +2.29%K +4.82%G +0.209%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.34%E +2.29%K +4.82%G +0.209%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.34%E -7.55%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:08
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:03
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:02
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +3.24%E +1.73%K +3.69%G +0.120%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -15.24%E -8.11%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:03
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 13:02
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:07
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:03
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:03
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.69%E +1.44%K +3.10%G +0.083%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.69%E -8.39%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.60%E +0.863%K +1.88%G +0.030%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.09%E -6.20%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV +1.60%E +0.863%K +1.88%G +0.030%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -13.44%E -7.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:04
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV +1.05%E +0.569%K +1.25%G +0.013%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.73%EV +1.05%E +0.569%K +1.25%G +0.013%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.27%EV -17.95%E -9.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV +0.498%E +0.272%K +0.600%G +0.003%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.55%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 13:02
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.051%E -0.028%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.19%E -5.68%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 13:00
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -1.15%E -0.639%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -9.38%E -4.67%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.90%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 13:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 13:09
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -0.366%E -0.166%K -0.303%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.44%E +0.639%K +1.15%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 13:09
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +0.535%E +0.240%K +0.435%G +0.002%6.6%2026-06-30 13:09
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +0.535%E +0.240%K +0.435%G +0.002%6.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -9.83%E -4.92%K -9.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 13:09
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.58%E -7.19%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 13:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.13%E -7.58%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.817%E -0.371%K -0.681%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 13:10
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -13.78%E -8.78%K -24.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -1.72%E -0.788%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -13.78%E -8.78%K -24.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -2.17%E -1.000%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-06-30 13:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%6.0%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10