Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 58.66%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 41.34%. For Qinwen Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +4.19%E +1.66%K +2.76%G +0.115% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.30%E +0.529%K +0.893%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.81%E -2.32%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.468%E +0.193%K +0.327%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.772%E -0.322%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.849%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 17:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:21 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.25%E -1.39%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 17:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 17:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -8.63%E -3.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -0.873%E -0.517%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.28%E -4.74%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.46%E -0.869%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.300%E +0.175%K +0.423%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.18%E -6.27%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 17:20 |