La escuela de los momios

Katerina Siniakova v Qinwen Zheng

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 58.66%1.70momio equitativo
EV +0.300%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.423%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%58.52%58.88%61.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.581.7165.36%62.54%63.29%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Predicción 41.34%2.42momio equitativo
EV +4.19%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +2.76%
Crecimiento +0.115%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.54%41.48%41.12%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.5247.62%43.46%43.48%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +4.19%E +1.66%K +2.76%G +0.115%3.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.30%E +0.529%K +0.893%G +0.012%3.7%2026-06-29 17:10
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.81%E -2.32%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.468%E +0.193%K +0.327%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-29 17:11
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.772%E -0.322%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:20
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.60%E -0.672%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -2.01%E -0.849%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:18
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:11
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:21
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:19
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:20
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.25%E -1.39%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:21
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.67%E -1.57%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.33%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:01
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 17:20
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.08%E -5.86%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:21
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:11
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.67%E -6.28%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.26%E -6.70%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -8.63%E -3.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:18
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.286%E -0.169%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:19
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -0.873%E -0.517%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:20
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -10.28%E -4.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.46%E -0.869%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-29 17:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.300%E +0.175%K +0.423%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -13.18%E -6.27%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-29 17:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-06-29 17:20