A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Barbora Krejcikova

Início: 2026-07-05 12:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 63.35%1.58odd justa
EV -0.540%
Vantagem -0.344%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.25%63.37%63.63%66.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.491.501.5771.43%67.16%66.67%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Previsão 36.65%2.73odd justa
EV +5.92%
Vantagem +2.05%
Kelly +3.13%
Crescimento +0.185%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.02%36.63%36.37%38.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.582.552.8942.55%38.77%39.22%34.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV +5.92%E +2.05%K +3.13%G +0.185%4.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.31%E -8.08%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.62%E +0.935%K +1.45%G +0.038%7.1%2026-07-05 12:45
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.61%E -3.76%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:39
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 12:43
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 12:44
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -5.08%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:28
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:44
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:30
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:29
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:43
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:44
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:29
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:38
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.34%E -2.87%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 12:45
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.11%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:29
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:44
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:32
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 12:45
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%4.1%2026-07-05 12:45