La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Barbora Krejcikova

Inicio: 2026-07-05 12:46 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 63.35%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.540%
Ventaja -0.344%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%63.37%63.63%66.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5771.43%67.16%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Predicción 36.65%2.73momio equitativo
EV +5.92%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +3.13%
Crecimiento +0.185%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.02%36.63%36.37%38.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.552.8942.55%38.77%39.22%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV +5.92%E +2.05%K +3.13%G +0.185%4.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.31%E -8.08%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.62%E +0.935%K +1.45%G +0.038%7.1%2026-07-05 12:45
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.61%E -3.76%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:39
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 12:43
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 12:44
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -5.08%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:28
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:44
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:30
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:29
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:43
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:44
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:29
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:38
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.34%E -2.87%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 12:45
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.11%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:29
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:44
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:32
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 12:45
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%4.1%2026-07-05 12:45