L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Barbora Krejcikova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 12:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 63.35%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.540%
Avantage -0.344%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.25%63.37%63.63%66.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5771.43%67.16%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barbora Krejcikova (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.65%2.73cote équitable
EV +5.92%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +3.13%
Croissance +0.185%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.02%36.63%36.37%38.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.552.8942.55%38.77%39.22%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV +5.92%E +2.05%K +3.13%G +0.185%4.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +5.55%E +1.93%K +2.95%G +0.164%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.31%E -8.08%K -28.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.62%E +0.935%K +1.45%G +0.038%7.1%2026-07-05 12:45
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.05%E -0.388%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:45
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.24%E -4.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:44
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 12:45
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.61%E -3.76%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:39
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 12:43
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 12:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 12:44
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -5.08%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:28
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.540%E -0.344%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:44
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:30
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:29
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:43
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.87%E -4.68%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.41%E -6.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:44
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:29
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:38
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.34%E -2.87%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:40
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.78%E -6.09%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 12:45
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.11%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:29
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:44
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.81%E -1.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:30
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.07%E -2.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.14%E -5.61%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 12:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:32
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -10.04%E -7.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-05 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-05 12:45
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-07-05 12:45
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%4.1%2026-07-05 12:45