Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen v Daria Kasatkina

Início: 2026-07-01 10:08 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Previsão 47.82%2.09odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.84%47.99%47.78%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.961.962.0253.19%51.11%51.02%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)

Previsão 52.18%1.92odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.629%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.01%52.22%53.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.831.9456.50%54.44%54.64%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Janice Tjen (Local): 47.82%; Daria Kasatkina (Visitante): 52.18%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.94, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +1.22%E +0.629%K +1.30%G +0.016%2.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.344%E -0.180%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:47
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 05:48
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:29
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.13%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.09%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 05:50
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:29
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 05:48
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:29
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 23:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 08:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 22:09
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 00:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 05:49
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 06:59
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00