La scuola delle quote

Janice Tjen v Daria Kasatkina

Inizio: 2026-07-01 10:08 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Janice Tjen (Casa)

Previsione 47.82%2.09quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.84%47.99%47.78%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.961.962.0253.19%51.11%51.02%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.18%1.92quota equa
EV +1.22%
Vantaggio +0.629%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.01%52.22%53.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.841.831.9456.50%54.44%54.64%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +1.22%E +0.629%K +1.30%G +0.016%2.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.344%E -0.180%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:47
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:29
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 05:48
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.13%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:39
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.09%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 05:50
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 08:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:49
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:29
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 05:48
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:29
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 23:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 08:59
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 22:09
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 00:49
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 05:49
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 06:59
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00