Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen v Daria Kasatkina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 10:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prévision 47.82%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%47.99%47.78%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.881.961.962.0253.19%51.11%51.02%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.18%1.92cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.629%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.01%52.22%53.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.841.831.9456.50%54.44%54.64%51.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Janice Tjen (Local) : 47.82% ; Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur) : 52.18%. Pour Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.94, soit une espérance positive de +1.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV +1.22%E +0.629%K +1.30%G +0.016%2.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.344%E -0.180%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:40
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 09:47
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 07:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 05:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 05:48
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:29
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.13%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.09%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 05:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 05:50
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.87%E -1.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 06:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 07:29
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.52%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 05:48
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.26%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:29
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 23:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 08:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 22:09
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 00:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 05:49
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.13%E -4.00%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 06:59
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.65%E -4.32%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00