La scuola delle quote

Irina-Camelia Begu v Katie Swan

Inizio: 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Irina-Camelia Begu (Casa)

Previsione 55.11%1.81quota equa
EV +13.52%
Vantaggio +6.56%
Kelly +12.75%
Crescita +1.72%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.35%54.55%55.34%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.761.732.0663.69%56.86%57.80%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Katie Swan (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.89%2.23quota equa
EV +6.85%
Vantaggio +2.88%
Kelly +4.96%
Crescita +0.340%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%45.45%44.66%53.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.782.032.042.3856.18%49.15%49.02%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +13.52%E +6.56%K +12.75%G +1.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -20.09%E -11.29%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 10:10
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:58
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:06
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:06
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:06
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:08
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:06
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:02
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:01
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +2.50%E +1.34%K +2.90%G +0.073%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:08
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.93%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -11.11%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 10:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV +0.113%E +0.051%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:09
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV +3.70%E +1.60%K +2.83%G +0.105%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +6.85%E +2.88%K +4.96%G +0.340%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +3.26%E +1.42%K +2.50%G +0.082%7.2%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09