L’École des cotes

Irina-Camelia Begu v Katie Swan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Irina-Camelia Begu (Local)

Prévision 55.11%1.81cote équitable
EV +13.52%
Avantage +6.56%
Kelly +12.75%
Croissance +1.72%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.35%54.55%55.34%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.761.732.0663.69%56.86%57.80%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katie Swan (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.89%2.23cote équitable
EV +6.85%
Avantage +2.88%
Kelly +4.96%
Croissance +0.340%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%45.45%44.66%53.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.782.032.042.3856.18%49.15%49.02%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +13.52%E +6.56%K +12.75%G +1.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -20.09%E -11.29%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 10:10
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:58
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:06
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:06
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:06
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:08
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:06
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:02
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:00
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:01
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +2.50%E +1.34%K +2.90%G +0.073%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:08
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.93%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -11.11%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 10:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV +0.113%E +0.051%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 10:09
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV +3.70%E +1.60%K +2.83%G +0.105%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +6.85%E +2.88%K +4.96%G +0.340%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +3.26%E +1.42%K +2.50%G +0.082%7.2%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09