La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Irina-Camelia Begu v Katie Swan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Irina-Camelia Begu (Local)
Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV +13.52%
Ventaja +6.56%
Kelly +12.75%
Crecimiento +1.72%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.35%54.55%55.34%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.761.732.0663.69%56.86%57.80%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Katie Swan (Visitante)
Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV +6.85%
Ventaja +2.88%
Kelly +4.96%
Crecimiento +0.340%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%45.45%44.66%53.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.032.042.3856.18%49.15%49.02%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +13.52%E +6.56%K +12.75%G +1.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -20.09%E -11.29%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +7.46%E +3.82%K +7.85%G +0.585% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +6.36%E +3.29%K +6.83%G +0.434% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.80%E +3.02%K +6.31%G +0.366% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.46%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -15.60%E -8.30%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +5.25%E +2.75%K +5.77%G +0.303% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:03 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:03 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -14.70%E -7.74%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -16.95%E -9.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +4.70%E +2.47%K +5.22%G +0.246% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -17.84%E -9.75%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.05%E +1.63%K +3.50%G +0.107% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.05%E -8.58%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| GTbets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +2.50%E +1.34%K +2.90%G +0.073% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -12.46%E -6.39%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.93%E -1.84%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.31%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -11.11%E -5.61%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.52%E -5.13%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV +0.113%E +0.051%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.21%E -5.11%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.28%E -7.01%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV +3.70%E +1.60%K +2.83%G +0.105% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.23%E -0.561%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +6.85%E +2.88%K +4.96%G +0.340% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +3.26%E +1.42%K +2.50%G +0.082% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Novig | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |