Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 10.70
assuming max odds 1.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ella Seidel (Local): 12.13%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 87.87%. For Ella Seidel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.24. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.82%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.17%EV +29.82%E +2.79%K +3.07%G +0.917% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.83%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +21.33%E +2.13%K +2.37%G +0.506% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +16.48%E +1.72%K +1.92%G +0.316% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +15.26%E +1.61%K +1.80%G +0.274% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV +3.37%E +0.396%K +0.449%G +0.015% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +1.92%E +0.228%K +0.259%G +0.005% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.51%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV +0.705%E +0.085%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +0.098%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.68%EV -0.872%E -0.107%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.96%EV -3.54%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.04%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -5.97%E -0.770%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -5.97%E -0.770%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -6.57%E -0.854%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -7.79%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -9.73%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -9.73%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.76%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.24%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -12.64%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:07 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.29% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |