Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ella Seidel v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ella Seidel (Local)

Prévision 12.13%8.24cote équitable
EV +29.82%
Avantage +2.79%
Kelly +3.07%
Croissance +0.917%

avec la cote maximale 10.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.17%12.15%12.09%14.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.727.5010.7015.38%12.95%13.33%9.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.87%1.14cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -33.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.75%87.85%87.91%90.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.61%92.59%90.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ella Seidel (Local) : 12.13% ; Linda Noskova (Visiteur) : 87.87%. Pour Ella Seidel (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.24. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.70, soit une espérance positive de +29.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯10.70I 9.35%NM 9.17%EV +29.82%E +2.79%K +3.07%G +0.917%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.83%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +21.33%E +2.13%K +2.37%G +0.506%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:09
FanDuel🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +16.48%E +1.72%K +1.92%G +0.316%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +15.26%E +1.61%K +1.80%G +0.274%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +9.20%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV +3.37%E +0.396%K +0.449%G +0.015%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.13%E +0.368%K +0.418%G +0.013%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 17:09
ReBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.49%EV +1.92%E +0.228%K +0.259%G +0.005%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.51%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV +0.705%E +0.085%K +0.097%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +0.098%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:07
Pinnacle🎯8.17I 12.24%NM 11.68%EV -0.872%E -0.107%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:10
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -2.94%E -0.367%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetAnything🎯7.95I 12.58%NM 11.96%EV -3.54%E -0.445%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.04%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Bovada🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -5.97%E -0.770%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -5.97%E -0.770%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -6.57%E -0.854%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 17:09
DraftKings🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -7.79%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:08
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:08
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:09
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.00%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.98%E -5.59%K -85.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:09
NordicBet🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -9.73%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Betsson🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.68%EV -9.73%E -1.31%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Fliff🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.76%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.24%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:09
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -12.64%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.35%E -3.04%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:07
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.23%E -3.88%K -46.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.07%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.10%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.10%E -4.73%K -63.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -6.86%E -6.47%K -114.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
ProphetX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Novig9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.29%2.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%3.5%2026-06-30 17:10