Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Caty McNally

Kickoff: 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prediction 56.04%1.78fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.97%56.06%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7661.73%59.34%59.52%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caty McNally (Visit)

Prediction 43.96%2.27fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.870%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.03%43.94%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.59%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 56.04%; Caty McNally (Visit): 43.96%. For Caty McNally (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.37%E -0.779%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.93%E -1.10%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.93%E -1.10%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 15:09
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:08
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:08
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:08
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:59
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:08
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:08
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.09%E -0.483%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.682%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:08
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.09%E -0.483%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.98%E -4.20%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.66%E -5.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-06-30 15:10