La escuela de los momios

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Caty McNally

Inicio: 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Predicción 56.04%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.779%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.97%56.06%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7661.73%59.34%59.52%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 43.96%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.870%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.03%43.94%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.59%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.37%E -0.779%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.93%E -1.10%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.93%E -1.10%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 15:09
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:08
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:08
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:08
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:07
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -6.36%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 15:09
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:08
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:08
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:59
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:10
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.09%E -0.483%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.682%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:08
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.85%E -3.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.09%E -0.483%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.98%E -4.20%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:09
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 15:09
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 15:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:09
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.66%E -5.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 15:02
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-06-30 15:10