Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 78.99%; Panna Udvardy (Visit): 21.01%. For Panna Udvardy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.95%E +0.602%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.850%E +0.177%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 17:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.88%E -0.403%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.30%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.50%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 02:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.75%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.25%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.75%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.25%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 16:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.05%E -1.66%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.26%E -1.01%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |