La escuela de los momios

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Panna Udvardy

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Predicción 78.99%1.27momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -5.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%78.83%78.95%80.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.201.2586.96%83.76%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panna Udvardy (Visitante)

Predicción 21.01%4.76momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.757%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%21.17%21.05%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.514.504.9025.00%22.18%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.95%E +0.602%K +0.757%G +0.022%5.2%2026-06-29 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.850%E +0.177%K +0.224%G +0.002%3.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 17:41
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.201%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:50
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.25%E -0.266%K -0.338%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.88%E -0.403%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 16:50
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.30%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:40
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:51
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:50
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:51
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:50
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:49
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:50
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:40
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:50
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 17:50
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:50
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.50%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 02:39
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.75%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.25%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.75%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.25%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 16:48
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.55%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:50
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:39
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.05%E -1.66%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:40
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:40
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.71%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:50
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:50
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.26%E -1.01%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-06-29 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-06-29 17:51
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-06-29 17:51
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%2.6%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%3.3%2026-06-29 17:51