Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Lanlana Tararudee

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 16:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prediction 80.45%1.24fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -12.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%80.28%80.51%81.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2186.96%84.61%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanlana Tararudee (Visit)

Prediction 19.55%5.11fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.579%
Kelly +0.715%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 5.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.48%19.72%19.49%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.694.605.2723.09%21.34%21.74%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 80.45%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visit): 19.55%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.45%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.55%EV +3.05%E +0.579%K +0.715%G +0.022%2.3%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.66%E +0.507%K +0.627%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-01 16:50
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.97%EV -2.66%E -2.20%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.03%EV +0.707%E +0.137%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-01 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.270%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -1.25%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:50
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.853%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:49
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.14%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.14%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:47
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:50
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:47
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -2.66%E -2.20%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:47
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.07%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.03%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 16:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -12.98%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:47
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:47
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.33%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%2.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%3.3%2026-07-01 16:50