L’École des cotes

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Lanlana Tararudee

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 16:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 80.45%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -12.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%80.28%80.51%81.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.181.181.2186.96%84.61%84.75%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lanlana Tararudee (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.55%5.11cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.579%
Kelly +0.715%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 5.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%19.72%19.49%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.694.605.2723.09%21.34%21.74%18.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.45%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.55%EV +3.05%E +0.579%K +0.715%G +0.022%2.3%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +2.66%E +0.507%K +0.627%G +0.017%3.1%2026-07-01 16:50
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.97%EV -2.66%E -2.20%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.03%EV +0.707%E +0.137%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-01 16:44
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -0.270%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -1.25%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:50
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.23%E -0.445%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 16:50
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -4.18%E -0.853%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:49
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.14%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:46
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.14%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:47
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:50
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:50
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:50
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:46
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:47
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:50
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -2.66%E -2.20%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.44%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:47
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:46
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.07%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:45
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.05%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -11.03%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:50
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.03%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 16:50
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:50
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:49
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:50
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:47
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 16:50
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.88%E -5.02%K -34.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.68%E -5.76%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -12.98%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:47
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:50
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.47%E -2.89%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:47
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.27%E -3.59%K -22.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -7.49%E -6.51%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -13.96%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 16:50
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.07%E -4.30%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -15.33%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 16:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-01 16:50
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-07-01 16:50
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%2.8%2026-07-01 16:50
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%3.3%2026-07-01 16:50