Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 64.38%; Eva Lys (Visit): 35.62%. For Eva Lys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -6.01%E -4.12%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV +6.51%E +2.18%K +3.27%G +0.213% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 16:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +5.09%E +1.72%K +2.61%G +0.133% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +5.09%E +1.72%K +2.61%G +0.133% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -11.80%E -8.62%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -11.80%E -8.62%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.45%E -9.15%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.45%E -9.15%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -9.23%E -6.55%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +2.95%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -13.09%E -9.70%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV +2.59%E +0.901%K +1.38%G +0.036% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.88%E +0.658%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.53%E +0.535%K +0.825%G +0.013% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -13.73%E -10.25%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV +1.53%E +0.535%K +0.825%G +0.013% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.01%E -4.12%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.94%E -5.55%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 17:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.96%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 17:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -9.23%E -6.55%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -0.216%E -0.139%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -8.09%E -3.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.216%E -0.139%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -9.52%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -9.52%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.27%EV -9.87%E -3.90%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 17:07 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 17:10 |