L’École des cotes

Diana Shnaider v Eva Lys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 64.38%1.55cote équitable
EV -0.216%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.392%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%64.66%64.06%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.441.441.5574.63%69.48%69.44%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eva Lys (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.62%2.81cote équitable
EV +6.87%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +3.43%
Croissance +0.236%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.51%35.34%35.94%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.753.0040.00%36.24%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.87%E +2.29%K +3.43%G +0.236%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%EV -6.01%E -4.12%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%EV +6.51%E +2.18%K +3.27%G +0.213%1.9%2026-06-30 16:56
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +5.09%E +1.72%K +2.61%G +0.133%6.4%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.16%E -8.09%K -29.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +5.09%E +1.72%K +2.61%G +0.133%6.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -11.80%E -8.62%K -31.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -11.80%E -8.62%K -31.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.45%E -9.15%K -34.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%8.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.45%E -9.15%K -34.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.31%E +1.14%K +1.74%G +0.058%8.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -9.23%E -6.55%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +2.95%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046%5.5%2026-06-30 16:58
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -13.09%E -9.70%K -37.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV +2.59%E +0.901%K +1.38%G +0.036%8.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.65%E -4.59%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.88%E +0.658%K +1.01%G +0.019%3.9%2026-06-30 17:10
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.53%E +0.535%K +0.825%G +0.013%4.5%2026-06-30 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -13.73%E -10.25%K -40.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV +1.53%E +0.535%K +0.825%G +0.013%9.7%2026-06-30 17:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:08
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:08
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.87%E -7.05%K -24.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.255%E -0.091%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 17:09
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.01%E -4.12%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -1.68%E -0.609%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:04
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:08
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:08
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.94%E -5.55%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.04%E -0.741%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 17:07
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 17:10
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.96%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:08
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:08
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.67%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:08
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.72%E -3.19%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.37%E -3.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -9.23%E -6.55%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.38%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -0.216%E -0.139%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -8.09%E -3.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:09
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.216%E -0.139%K -0.392%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.43%E -2.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.16%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -9.52%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.08%E -2.74%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -9.52%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.30%E -5.07%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.27%EV -9.87%E -3.90%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 17:07
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.15%E -1.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.94%E -4.38%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-06-30 17:10
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-06-30 17:10
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-06-30 17:10
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-06-30 17:10