Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur v Ashlyn Krueger

Kickoff: 2026-07-04 11:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV +0.889%
Edge +0.476%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.71%54.04%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.751.8760.24%56.97%57.14%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ashlyn Krueger (Visit)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.461%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.29%45.96%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.052.1653.48%49.20%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 53.95%; Ashlyn Krueger (Visit): 46.05%. For Daria Snigur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.889%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.889%E +0.476%K +1.02%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -0.190%E -0.103%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -11.59%E -6.03%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -0.190%E -0.103%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -11.59%E -6.03%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.81%E -0.994%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.92%E -0.900%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -11.13%E -5.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.05%E -6.31%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.535%E -0.248%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 11:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 11:51
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 11:45
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:44
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:35
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:54
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:55
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:45
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.05%E -6.31%K -13.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 11:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.996%E -0.463%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 11:54
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:53
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 11:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 11:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -1.92%E -0.900%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.44%E -6.29%K -15.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-04 11:55
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-07-04 11:55
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55