La escuela de los momios

Daria Snigur v Ashlyn Krueger

Inicio: 2026-07-04 11:59 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daria Snigur (Local)

Predicción 53.95%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.889%
Ventaja +0.476%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%53.71%54.04%55.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.761.751.8760.24%56.97%57.14%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ashlyn Krueger (Visitante)

Predicción 46.05%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.535%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.461%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.24%46.29%45.96%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.032.052.1653.48%49.20%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.889%E +0.476%K +1.02%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.89%E -7.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -0.190%E -0.103%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -11.59%E -6.03%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -0.190%E -0.103%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -11.59%E -6.03%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.81%E -0.994%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.92%E -0.900%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -11.13%E -5.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.05%E -6.31%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:55
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.535%E -0.248%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 11:45
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 11:51
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.64%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.36%EV -12.97%E -6.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 11:55
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 11:45
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 11:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 11:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:54
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:55
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:55
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 11:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 11:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 11:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.05%E -6.31%K -13.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 11:55
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 11:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 11:45
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 11:55
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.996%E -0.463%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 11:54
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 11:54
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 11:55
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 11:53
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.74%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 11:54
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 11:45
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -1.92%E -0.900%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 11:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.44%E -6.29%K -15.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-04 11:55
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-04 11:55
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-07-04 11:55
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%6.8%2026-07-04 11:55