Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Claire Liu v Hanne Vandewinkel

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Claire Liu (Local)

Prediction 58.22%1.72fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.23%58.14%58.23%59.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.641.631.6965.79%61.14%61.16%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanne Vandewinkel (Visit)

Prediction 41.78%2.39fair odd
EV -0.556%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.32%41.86%41.77%43.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3847.62%44.86%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Claire Liu (Local): 58.22%; Hanne Vandewinkel (Visit): 41.78%. For Hanne Vandewinkel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.556%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.61%E -0.955%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:06
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.91%E -4.09%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:31
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:31
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:11
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:31
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:11
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:30
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:21
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.23%E -0.952%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:28
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.556%E -0.233%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.41%E -2.86%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.25%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.06%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:10
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:11
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:31
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 14:27
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 14:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -11.51%E -7.57%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-29 14:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-06-29 14:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-29 14:31
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-06-29 14:31
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-06-29 14:31