La escuela de los momios

Claire Liu v Hanne Vandewinkel

Inicio: 2026-06-29 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Claire Liu (Local)

Predicción 58.22%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.955%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.23%58.14%58.23%59.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.641.631.6965.79%61.14%61.16%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hanne Vandewinkel (Visitante)

Predicción 41.78%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.556%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.32%41.86%41.77%43.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.252.3847.62%44.86%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.61%E -0.955%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:06
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.91%E -4.09%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:31
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:31
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -9.33%E -4.30%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:11
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:31
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:11
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.78%E -1.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.36%E -2.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:21
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -10.58%E -4.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:30
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -3.94%E -2.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:30
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.23%E -0.952%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 14:11
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:28
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.52%E -2.76%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:28
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.556%E -0.233%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 14:25
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.41%E -2.86%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 14:05
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-29 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.11%E -3.13%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.25%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 14:30
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.06%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 14:10
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:11
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:10
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.69%E -3.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 14:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:31
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.27%E -3.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.90%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.85%E -4.28%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 14:27
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.60%E -5.48%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.76%E -6.30%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 14:28
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -11.51%E -7.57%K -22.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-29 14:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-06-29 14:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-29 14:31
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-06-29 14:31
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-06-29 14:31