Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Teodora Kostovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 92.78%1.08fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -51.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.64%92.63%92.72%95.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.63%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Teodora Kostovic (Visit)
Prediction 7.22%13.85fair odd
EV +44.39%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +1.04%
assuming max odds 20.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.85%7.37%7.28%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0013.8214.0020.0011.11%7.24%7.14%5.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 92.78%; Teodora Kostovic (Visit): 7.22%. For Teodora Kostovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.85. 32 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 20.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +44.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +44.39%E +2.22%K +2.34%G +1.04% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +37.17%E +1.96%K +2.07%G +0.768% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.37%EV -7.22%E -7.22%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 16.75I 5.97%NM 5.63%EV +20.93%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.278% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +15.51%E +0.970%K +1.03%G +0.160% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 15.99I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +15.44%E +0.966%K +1.03%G +0.159% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.33%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 14.27I 7.01%NM 6.67%EV +3.02%E +0.212%K +0.228%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -6.87%E -0.532%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.75%E -0.780%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.75%E -0.780%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -10.12%E -0.812%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.36%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.36%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.58%E -2.46%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -27.80%E -2.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -27.80%E -2.78%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.02%E -3.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.24% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.76% | 0.0% | 2026-06-29 16:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 16:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.23% | 26.32I 3.80%NM 3.77% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.22% | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.78% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 16:30 |