La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Teodora Kostovic

Inizio: 2026-06-29 16:33 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 92.78%1.08quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -2.46%
Kelly -51.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.64%92.63%92.72%95.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.63%98.04%95.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Teodora Kostovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.22%13.85quota equa
EV +44.39%
Vantaggio +2.22%
Kelly +2.34%
Crescita +1.04%

ipotizzando la quota massima 20.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.85%7.37%7.28%10.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0013.8214.0020.0011.11%7.24%7.14%5.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +44.39%E +2.22%K +2.34%G +1.04%3.0%2026-06-29 16:20
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +37.17%E +1.96%K +2.07%G +0.768%4.3%2026-06-29 16:20
Sky Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323%3.9%2026-06-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323%3.9%2026-06-29 16:30
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +22.73%E +1.34%K +1.42%G +0.323%4.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.37%EV -7.22%E -7.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.63%EV +20.93%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.278%6.0%2026-06-29 16:29
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +15.51%E +0.970%K +1.03%G +0.160%2.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%15.99I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +15.44%E +0.966%K +1.03%G +0.159%3.3%2026-06-29 16:30
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%3.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%3.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Bovada1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%4.7%2026-06-29 16:20
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%4.7%2026-06-29 16:20
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%5.7%2026-06-29 16:30
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%5.7%2026-06-29 16:30
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +8.29%E +0.553%K +0.592%G +0.049%5.7%2026-06-29 16:30
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.33%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%14.27I 7.01%NM 6.67%EV +3.02%E +0.212%K +0.228%G +0.007%5.0%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:25
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:25
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:30
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.2%2026-06-29 16:29
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%6.2%2026-06-29 16:31
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%6.2%2026-06-29 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.07%E +0.077%K +0.083%G +0.001%6.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -2.53%E -0.188%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:30
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:20
betfred_uk1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:19
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.14%E -0.473%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:26
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -6.87%E -0.532%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.75%E -0.780%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 16:19
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.29%E -6.23%K -629.18%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -9.75%E -0.780%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 16:30
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -10.12%E -0.812%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.36%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.36%E -5.26%K -268.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.36%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:25
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:30
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.58%E -1.87%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:30
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.58%E -2.46%K -51.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -27.80%E -2.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 16:30
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.44%E -4.31%K -147.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -27.80%E -2.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 16:30
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.51%E -3.37%K -87.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.02%E -3.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 95.24%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.76%0.0%2026-06-29 16:31
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-06-29 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-06-29 16:31
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 96.23%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.77%0.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.22%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.78%1.9%2026-06-29 16:30