Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Antonia Ruzic v Darja Semenistaja

Início: 2026-06-29 13:24 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Previsão 65.72%1.52odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.951%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.83%65.88%68.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.431.441.5072.46%70.01%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Darja Semenistaja (Visitante)

Previsão 34.28%2.92odd justa
EV +2.85%
Vantagem +0.951%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.82%34.17%34.12%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.14%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 65.72%; Darja Semenistaja (Visitante): 34.28%. Para Darja Semenistaja (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.92. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.17%E +0.728%K +1.10%G +0.024%4.5%2026-06-29 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.48%E +0.501%K +0.757%G +0.011%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.26%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%1.9%2026-06-29 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 13:20
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:20
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:16
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:17
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 13:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 13:18
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:16
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:17
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:19
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 13:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.951%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-06-29 13:21
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-06-29 13:21