L’École des cotes

Antonia Ruzic v Darja Semenistaja

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 13:24 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 65.72%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.83%65.88%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.441.5072.46%70.01%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Darja Semenistaja (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.28%2.92cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +0.951%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.17%34.12%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.14%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.17%E +0.728%K +1.10%G +0.024%4.5%2026-06-29 13:20
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.48%E +0.501%K +0.757%G +0.011%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.26%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%1.9%2026-06-29 13:15
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:19
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 13:20
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 13:15
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 13:20
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:20
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:16
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:15
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:17
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 13:16
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 13:18
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:16
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:17
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:19
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 13:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 13:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.951%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-06-29 13:21
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%3.5%2026-06-29 13:21