La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Antonia Ruzic v Darja Semenistaja
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Antonia Ruzic (Local)
Predicción 65.72%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.83%65.88%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.441.5072.46%70.01%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Darja Semenistaja (Visitante)
Predicción 34.28%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.85%
Ventaja +0.951%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.17%34.12%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.14%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.85%E +0.951%K +1.43%G +0.041% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +2.17%E +0.728%K +1.10%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +1.48%E +0.501%K +0.757%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.74%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.26%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 13:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.14%E +0.386%K +0.585%G +0.007% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -1.26%E -0.437%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.66%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.00%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.35%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -5.03%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 13:16 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.40%E -2.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:17 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.03%E -4.21%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 13:16 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.68%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 13:18 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.43%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:16 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.74%E -1.85%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 13:17 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.71%E -3.25%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.17%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.43%E -0.951%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 13:21 |