Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Ann Li
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 34.37%2.91fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%35.32%34.37%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.712.732.8754.64%36.93%36.63%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ann Li (Visit)
Prediction 65.63%1.52fair odd
EV +20.11%
Edge +10.99%
Kelly +24.23%
Growth +4.87%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%64.68%65.63%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.8371.43%68.77%68.97%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 34.37%; Ann Li (Visit): 65.63%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -37.11%E -20.28%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +20.11%E +10.99%K +24.23%G +4.87% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:36 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 08:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.21%E -1.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.86%E -1.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 01:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.36%E -0.475%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.74%E -0.968%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.08%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 20:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 13:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 20:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
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