Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech v Ann Li

Início: 2026-07-28 20:56 UTC

Final: Magdalena Frech 2–0 Ann Li

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Previsão 34.37%2.91odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.475%
Kelly -0.730%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.26%35.32%34.37%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.712.732.8754.64%36.93%36.63%34.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 65.63%1.52odd justa
EV +20.11%
Vantagem +10.99%
Kelly +24.23%
Crescimento +4.87%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%64.68%65.63%66.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.8371.43%68.77%68.97%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Magdalena Frech (Local): 34.37%; Ann Li (Visitante): 65.63%. Para Ann Li (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.52. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +20.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -37.11%E -20.28%K -44.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +20.11%E +10.99%K +24.23%G +4.87%9.3%2026-07-28 20:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:34
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 13:36
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 08:28
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.21%E -1.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 17:10
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.86%E -1.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 01:44
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.36%E -0.475%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.74%E -0.968%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.08%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.52%E -2.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:10
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 17:10
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 20:49
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 20:54
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:04
DraftKings🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:54
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 20:44
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 13:44
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 18:09
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 20:54
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 20:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.80%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 20:34
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 13:39
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:54
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 13:39
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:44
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 20:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-28 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-28 20:55
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-28 20:54
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-28 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-07-28 20:55
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-07-28 20:55
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-07-28 20:55