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Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Prediction 31.09%3.22fair odd
EV +5.70%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%31.13%31.00%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.053.4036.36%32.84%32.73%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 68.91%1.45fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.87%69.00%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4275.19%73.00%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 31.09%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 68.91%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +5.70%E +1.68%K +2.37%G +0.135% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 12:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.519%E -0.162%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.519%E -0.162%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.11%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.89%EV -7.66%E -5.71%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.87%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 13:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 13:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -7.05%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -7.67%E -2.58%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.78%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.78%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.51%E -5.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.14%E -1.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.51%E -5.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.14%E -1.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 14:52 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
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