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Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Clara Tauson
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Predicción 31.09%3.22momio equitativo
EV +5.70%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.135%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%31.13%31.00%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.053.4036.36%32.84%32.73%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Clara Tauson (Visitante)
Predicción 68.91%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -5.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.87%69.00%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.371.4275.19%73.00%72.99%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 31.09%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 68.91%. Para Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.22. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +5.70%E +1.68%K +2.37%G +0.135% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 12:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.519%E -0.162%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.519%E -0.162%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.07%E -0.658%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.21%E -3.03%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.01%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.11%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.89%EV -7.66%E -5.71%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.87%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 13:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 13:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -7.05%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -7.67%E -2.58%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.85%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.78%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.78%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.52%E -2.52%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.51%E -5.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.14%E -1.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.51%E -5.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.14%E -1.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 14:52 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |