Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Elina Svitolina

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC

Final: Alexandra Eala 2–0 Elina Svitolina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 41.91%2.39fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.00%41.86%43.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3646.51%44.71%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visit)

Prediction 58.09%1.72fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.07%58.00%58.14%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.641.7063.69%61.19%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 41.91%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 58.09%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.36, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.10%E -0.465%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 20:19
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.03%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:59
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.03%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 21:35
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.45%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.45%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 22:54
NordicBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.29%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 19:00
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.29%E -2.34%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 19:00
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.82%E -1.08%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-31 22:55
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 19:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:59
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:05
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 21:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 19:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.55%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 22:56
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 22:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 23:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.64%E -3.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -9.06%E -4.18%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.24%E -0.731%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.90%E -4.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.90%E -4.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.90%E -4.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.90%E -4.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:15
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.90%E -4.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-07-31 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-31 23:10
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-31 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-31 23:10
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-31 23:10
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-07-31 23:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-07-31 23:10

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