Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala v Elina Svitolina

2026-07-31 22:30 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Predicción 36.27%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.247%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.141%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.53%36.34%39.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7541.67%38.76%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 63.73%1.57momio equitativo
EV +0.050%
Ventaja +0.032%
Kelly +0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.65%63.47%63.66%65.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.481.5770.92%67.17%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexandra Eala (Local): 36.27%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 63.73%. Para Elina Svitolina (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.569. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.570, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.050%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -12.22%E -5.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV +0.050%E +0.032%K +0.088%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 08:25
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -10.77%E -4.38%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -1.22%E -0.790%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:55
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -7.14%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.86%E -1.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 09:40
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -7.14%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -1.86%E -1.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 09:39
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 08:55
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 08:55
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 05:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.13%E -4.54%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 08:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.13%E -4.54%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 08:50
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -12.22%E -5.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 08:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 08:54
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.77%E -2.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 08:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.96%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 08:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.96%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 08:30
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 05:29
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 05:30
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 08:54
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 08:25
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 08:24
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 09:39
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 08:29
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 08:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 08:54
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.247%E -0.090%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 08:24
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:24
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:24
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 08:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 08:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.69%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 08:50
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.06%E -0.763%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.96%E -4.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 08:25
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.96%E -4.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 08:25
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.96%E -4.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 08:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -4.60%E -1.75%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -6.96%E -4.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -4.60%E -1.75%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -6.96%E -4.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:25
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 08:24
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 05:29
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 09:15
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 08:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.60%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 08:53
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.23%E -5.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 08:25
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.23%E -5.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 08:25
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.23%E -5.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 08:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -10.15%E -7.20%K -24.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-31 08:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-07-31 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-07-31 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-07-31 09:20
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-07-31 09:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%4.8%2026-07-31 08:40
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%5.9%2026-07-31 09:40
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-07-31 09:40