Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 71.96%; Ella Seidel (Visit): 28.04%. For Ella Seidel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.744%E +0.531%K +1.86%G +0.014% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -15.88%E -5.29%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:11 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.13%E -1.57%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 02:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%EV +1.23%E +0.339%K +0.470%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +0.945%E +0.263%K +0.364%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 15:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 14:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.91%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -1.02%E -0.288%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -12.23%E -3.91%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |