Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Ella Seidel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Yuliia Starodubtseva 2–0 Ella Seidel

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prévision 71.96%1.39cote équitable
EV +0.744%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%71.74%71.88%73.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.321.331.4077.52%75.50%75.19%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ella Seidel (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.04%3.57cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.339%
Kelly +0.470%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.26%28.12%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.6133.33%29.90%29.85%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local) : 71.96% ; Ella Seidel (Visiteur) : 28.04%. Pour Ella Seidel (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.61, soit une espérance positive de +1.23%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.744%E +0.531%K +1.86%G +0.014%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -15.88%E -5.29%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:11
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.13%E -1.57%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.57%E -2.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%EV +1.23%E +0.339%K +0.470%G +0.006%2.9%2026-09-01 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +0.945%E +0.263%K +0.364%G +0.003%3.0%2026-09-01 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 15:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:10
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 15:57
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 17:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 16:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.29%E -3.23%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:36
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:15
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.91%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:40
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.80%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 14:15
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -1.02%E -0.288%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.73%E -4.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 14:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.45%E -4.96%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.744%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -7.17%E -5.56%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -12.23%E -3.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 18:20
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 18:01
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-01 18:05
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 18:35
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%2.6%2026-09-01 18:00