Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 21:31 UTC

Final: Xinyu Wang 1–2 Anna Kalinskaya

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 34.69%2.88fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.81%34.68%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8339.22%37.17%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 65.31%1.53fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%65.19%65.32%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.461.5070.42%68.24%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 34.69%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 65.31%. For Xinyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.83, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.83%E -0.647%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 17:45
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.34%E -2.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.34%E -2.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.99%E -2.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:00
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.99%E -2.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.56%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.99%E -2.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 21:24
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.91%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 15:54
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.26%E -1.54%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.34%E -2.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 20:25
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.26%E -1.54%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.99%E -2.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:15
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.99%E -2.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 20:33
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 09:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:55
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:15
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 09:45
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.61%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 14:33
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.30%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 20:35
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.65%E -2.08%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:30
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.03%E -1.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 19:15
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.34%E -2.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 18:05
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 09:45
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 05:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:05
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:15
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 09:45
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.34%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.61%E -4.62%K -15.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 21:19
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.07%E -3.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.65%E -3.18%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.77%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.03%E -1.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:20
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 21:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.11%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.03%E -1.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 05:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.03%E -1.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.81%E -3.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 21:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.54%E -4.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.34%E -2.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-09-02 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-09-02 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-09-02 21:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-09-02 21:05
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-09-02 21:05
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-02 21:20
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-09-02 21:11