Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Zidansek v Maria Timofeeva

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 17:03 UTC

Final: Tamara Zidansek 0–2 Maria Timofeeva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tamara Zidansek (Local)

Prediction 35.77%2.80fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.680%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.25%35.61%35.77%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.02%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Timofeeva (Visit)

Prediction 64.23%1.56fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.39%64.23%66.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5371.43%68.32%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tamara Zidansek (Local): 35.77%; Maria Timofeeva (Visit): 64.23%. For Tamara Zidansek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.94%E +0.680%K +1.05%G +0.020%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:04
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV +0.508%E +0.181%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 02:15
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.150%E +0.054%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.150%E +0.054%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.43%E -6.69%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.28%E -0.464%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -1.28%E -0.464%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.51%E -5.21%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.64%E -0.596%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.79%E -6.19%K -20.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:24
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -2.00%E -0.728%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.35%E -0.862%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.71%E -0.997%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.01%E -1.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:40
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:14
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.86%E -4.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.72%E -1.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.72%E -1.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:40
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.29%E -2.88%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:50
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.29%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.58%E -3.80%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:40
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:40
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-31 16:55
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-31 16:50
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 16:55
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.7%2026-08-31 16:55